Day 5 - slowly crazy going am I

[garroadran]

Day 4:

dragon6860 - Insane
daniant - Suicidal
FecklessRogue - Insane

And now to analyze vote history

[heffling]

Any reason for red insane?

[garroadran]

Presumably cannibal

[Raakam]

1. MrBlarney
3. kuhlmeye
4. The Cow King
6. Lucedes
7. Capfalcon
9. real_pochacco
11. The Anonymous
14. godmode
16. sterling3763
17. jackisreal
20. oldmanken
22. Mr. Defecation
23. Smoove Operator
26. stever777
27. Heffling
28. coutts
29. Gandalf_the_Crazed
30. Teucrian
31. CaptainPlanet82
32. Raakam
35. Extermatott
39. HeavyVillain
40. garroad_ran
Over the moon replacement?
24 players left, and there are still 5 of us left. 3 or 4 people should die tonight. We're getting closer.

[godmode]

I'm very surprised that no one has tried to kill me yet. I havent decided on whether I'm voting coutts or teucrian today

[garroadran]

So, with the vote having been so close last night, do we take a look at people who kept their vote on Teucrian, to see if we can fish out another cannibal?

Or do we take a shot at Mr. D, Teucrian, or perhaps one of Mr. B or Gandalf? Teucrian's "reverse seer" pinned Gandalf as a "killer" apparently, so maybe he's the guard?

OR do we go for people who are keeping a low profile?

EDIT:

Dragon was 4th on the teucrian bandwagon last night. Of the people before him, two are ours, and #2 was T_A.

The rest of the people who voted for teucrian last night, in chronological order:

Cow King
Stever777
coutts
oldmanken
captainplanet

What with there being at least five cannibals left (as per our role PM: they outnumber us), I'd imagine there's a real good chance there's at least one, maybe two of them in that list.


And this is the list of people that voted for Dragon, again, chronologically.
Teucrian
Smoove Operator
MrBlarney
FecklessRogue - Dead
garroad_ran
jackisreal
Heffling
Extermatott
Gandalf_the_Crazed
sterling3763
kuhlmeye

Dragon won the vote 11 to 9, so I think it's a fairly safe bet that neither Gandalf, Sterling, nor kuhlmeye will ever come up cannibal.

As for who might be networked with Teucrian... no clue, but they're probably on that second list.

[garroadran]

Now we cross-reference that list with the people who switched to the Infidel bandwagon on Day 3 once Teucrian said he was evil (again in chronological order):


Teucrian
Smoove Operator
Capfalcon
jackisreal
Heffling
Raakam
Gandalf_the_Crazed
Mr. Defecation - Self Committed
FecklessRogue - Dead
oldmanken
sterling3763
CaptainPlanet82


The names which appear on both lists are:
Smoove, Gandalf, Jackisreal, and Sterling


And I'm not ruling out the possibility that Teucrian is the insane seer himself and just lying about having a source. There's also the possibility that Teucrian is a cannibal, but I'm more skeptical of that.

[garroadran]

Another tidbit to consider:

We've had four names come up in pink. I think that Dragon's name coming up in red tells us that there's at least some point to the color scheme. Of the people who have come up in pink, we know:

Zandracon - Self-committed
Turkson - Orderly
Maximus - Nurse (theoretically their even day vig)
LoserForHireX - Nurse (as per Mr. D) (theoretically their odd day vig, which we may be able to confirm tonight)
Mr. Defecation - Self-committed

It would make sense thematically that the self-committed people would want to work with the orderlies to get everything back in order, and it would also make sense that this group of people would know who was insane and who wasn't.

If there's only five people in their group, then that makes Mr. D the last one, and if we take him out we can finish off a group and cut off the village's source of information.

[godmode]

Guys hop on the teucrian wagon early. Read the last few posts. It won't be suspicious at all and we can take him out.

[godmode]

I suggest we kill coutts tonight. He's off somehow. Also, Mr Def.

[garroadran]

Except then if he turns up good and they decide to go after everyone who started the Teucrian bandwagon, they will almost certainly hit us. Gotta diversify.

And anyway, it's too early to start a bandwagon. No information has come out today regarding last night's deaths or seerings or anything. Whatever goodguy network they've got will be watching to see who jumps on early bandwagons like these.

[garroadran]

Apr 13, 2011 11:01:34 GMT -5 godmode said:

I suggest we kill coutts tonight. He's off somehow. Also, Mr Def.

Well, we don't get an "also," we get an "or."

I like the idea of taking a chance on killing Mr. D., as it would severely cripple the village, since they're presumably short on information.

coutts has been laying low (averaging two posts per day), but I don't know what he's usually like. He was third on the teucrian-voting last night.... whatever that means.

[godmode]

Apr 13, 2011 11:03:05 GMT -5 garroadran said:

Except then if he turns up good and they decide to go after everyone who started the Teucrian bandwagon, they will almost certainly hit us. Gotta divesify.

If Teucrian turns out good, it would be Capfalcon and I that the village comes after. I would pretty much just say, "Well, he sure did ACT evil!" I don't think it would jeopardize our faction as a whole at all. I think now is a good time to get rid of him for good, while the semi-solid excuse is there.

And if it's the choice between those two targets, Mr Def would be good.

Edit: good as in good to kill.

[garroadran]

It's rarely a good idea to have everyone piled up on one target. And anyway, voting for him at this point is still premature since there's no public information about last night's activities.

Putting the order on Mr. Def. I might not be back for vote close, so feel free to change that if you guys feel he might be guarded.

[heffling]

At this point, everyone has voted for Tuerican, so I'd say that's a safe vote to hide behind.

I'm ok with Mr. Defecation getting a little loving.